Today was definitely better than yesterday. It was clearly a sell day (look at where TICK spent most of its time today), and for the most part, I tried to stay out of longs. I was out of the office in the morning but managed to glance over at the charts in the afternoon for a few trades. Since Matt called me out on using bigger size to make up for a loss yesterday, I took the opposite approach today. Lost money on a 2-lot ES trade and was down -$150, but made it all back and then some (+$100) trading 1 contract.
I have a slightly bullish bias for tomorrow. I think we're gonna be range bound for a few days though. But again, it's a thought, and that's it! Doesn't mean I will trade with a bullish bias. I will trade it as it comes. Every moment in the market is unique, and I don't know sh*t! Trading with that mindset helps manage expectations (as in, I have none). No expectations means little or no disappointment.
I'm sure these TICK trade setups are sounding repetitive by now, but that's the point! Check it out. Here's why you should have sold here: Price couldn't make it back to 1st hour high (weakness), higher high on price, lower high on TICK (divergence) and zero-line reject.
Gap filled by 9:00 AM
ES/TICK (3-min) Look at where TICK is all day. BELOW Zero!
ES Market Balance (5-min Day Session Only)
TF Market Balance (5-min Day Session Only)